Alsea. de Valuation
Is ALSEA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ALSEA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ALSEA * (MX$74.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$78.44)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALSEA * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALSEA *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is ALSEA *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | Mex$60.80b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4.9x |
PEG Ratio | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ALSEA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 60.7x | ||
CMR B CMR. de | 12x | n/a | Mex$994.5m |
POSADAS A Grupo Posadas. de | 14.2x | n/a | Mex$14.3b |
GRG Greggs | 19.1x | 4.7% | UK£2.7b |
SHAK Shake Shack | 197.5x | 25.7% | US$4.3b |
ALSEA * Alsea. de | 25.4x | 24.8% | Mex$60.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALSEA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the peer average (60.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ALSEA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALSEA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (20.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ALSEA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 25.4x |
Fair PE Ratio | 25.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALSEA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$74.27 | Mex$82.37 +10.9% | 9.7% | Mex$98.00 | Mex$67.90 | n/a | 12 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$83.09 | Mex$75.81 -8.8% | 13.8% | Mex$98.00 | Mex$54.00 | n/a | 14 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$66.52 | Mex$70.74 +6.3% | 9.5% | Mex$83.00 | Mex$54.00 | n/a | 16 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$68.21 | Mex$67.21 -1.5% | 9.8% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$54.00 | n/a | 16 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$64.16 | Mex$66.53 +3.7% | 9.8% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$54.00 | n/a | 16 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$59.90 | Mex$65.23 +8.9% | 11.7% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$50.50 | n/a | 15 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$60.07 | Mex$64.95 +8.1% | 13.3% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$44.30 | n/a | 15 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$63.41 | Mex$59.36 -6.4% | 21.0% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$39.00 | n/a | 14 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$59.75 | Mex$58.81 -1.6% | 20.5% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$39.00 | n/a | 15 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$57.83 | Mex$57.50 -0.6% | 18.9% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$39.00 | n/a | 16 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$55.51 | Mex$54.24 -2.3% | 19.6% | Mex$80.00 | Mex$37.40 | n/a | 16 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$51.23 | Mex$53.43 +4.3% | 16.8% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$37.40 | n/a | 16 |
May ’24 | Mex$48.18 | Mex$51.93 +7.8% | 17.0% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$37.90 | n/a | 16 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$43.16 | Mex$48.36 +12.0% | 16.6% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$34.70 | Mex$83.09 | 16 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$41.25 | Mex$47.85 +16.0% | 17.5% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$32.80 | Mex$66.52 | 15 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$44.92 | Mex$47.81 +6.4% | 17.5% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$34.10 | Mex$68.21 | 15 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$36.86 | Mex$48.25 +30.9% | 16.8% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$34.10 | Mex$64.16 | 16 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$39.56 | Mex$49.94 +26.2% | 15.3% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$34.10 | Mex$59.90 | 16 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$38.11 | Mex$49.94 +31.0% | 15.3% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$34.10 | Mex$60.07 | 16 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$36.29 | Mex$51.70 +42.4% | 12.3% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$40.00 | Mex$63.41 | 18 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$36.35 | Mex$52.86 +45.4% | 12.4% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$40.00 | Mex$59.75 | 18 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$40.82 | Mex$52.81 +29.4% | 12.7% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$37.00 | Mex$57.83 | 18 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$37.70 | Mex$53.45 +41.8% | 11.7% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$39.00 | Mex$55.51 | 18 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$42.14 | Mex$54.01 +28.2% | 11.1% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$39.00 | Mex$51.23 | 17 |
May ’23 | Mex$44.73 | Mex$54.00 +20.7% | 11.3% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$38.00 | Mex$48.18 | 17 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$49.55 | Mex$52.00 +5.0% | 13.7% | Mex$67.00 | Mex$36.00 | Mex$43.16 | 17 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.