Marriott Vacations Worldwide Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of VAC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

VAC * (MX$1483.77) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$3033.54)

Is VAC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VAC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VAC * (MX$1483.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$3033.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VAC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VAC *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for VAC *. This is calculated by dividing VAC *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is VAC *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$2.68b

VAC * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.1x
PEG Ratio	0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VAC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VAC * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	42.4x
RLH A RLH Properties. de	30.9x	n/a	Mex$18.4b
POSADAS A Grupo Posadas. de	88.7x	n/a	Mex$13.5b
CIDMEGA * Grupe. de	18.8x	n/a	Mex$2.3b
HOTEL * Grupo Hotelero Santa Fe. de	31.2x	32.6%	Mex$2.6b
VAC * Marriott Vacations Worldwide	16.7x	37.0%	Mex$2.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VAC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (42.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VAC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	24.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	24.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VAC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VAC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VAC * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	16.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VAC *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.