Royal Caribbean Cruises Valuation
Is RCL * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of RCL * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: RCL * (MX$2503.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5964.28)
Significantly Below Fair Value: RCL * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RCL *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is RCL *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$37.65b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.1x |
PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does RCL *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 25.9x | ||
POSADAS A Grupo Posadas. de | 18x | n/a | Mex$14.3b |
HOTEL * Grupo Hotelero Santa Fe. de | 13x | 17.6% | Mex$2.5b |
CCL Carnival Corporation & | 47.3x | 32.6% | US$18.6b |
CIDMEGA * Grupe. de | 25.4x | n/a | Mex$2.3b |
RCL * Royal Caribbean Cruises | 18.1x | 17.1% | Mex$37.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RCL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the peer average (25.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does RCL *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RCL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (21.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is RCL *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 18.1x |
Fair PE Ratio | 28.2x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RCL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$2,503.80 | Mex$2,690.52 +7.5% | 8.0% | Mex$3,070.39 | Mex$2,252.73 | n/a | 20 |
May ’25 | Mex$2,407.00 | Mex$2,661.30 +10.6% | 8.8% | Mex$3,131.28 | Mex$2,297.40 | n/a | 20 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$2,333.00 | Mex$2,456.05 +5.3% | 8.8% | Mex$2,907.47 | Mex$1,921.60 | n/a | 21 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$2,125.20 | Mex$2,475.93 +16.5% | 8.5% | Mex$2,961.24 | Mex$1,957.14 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$2,123.00 | Mex$2,252.76 +6.1% | 17.1% | Mex$2,904.71 | Mex$1,353.25 | n/a | 18 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$2,252.78 | Mex$2,113.33 -6.2% | 15.9% | Mex$2,621.41 | Mex$1,339.45 | n/a | 19 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$1,899.99 | Mex$1,992.30 +4.9% | 14.0% | Mex$2,407.92 | Mex$1,362.19 | n/a | 17 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$1,525.23 | Mex$2,072.43 +35.9% | 13.1% | Mex$2,524.17 | Mex$1,550.56 | n/a | 18 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$1,612.00 | Mex$2,009.52 +24.7% | 12.4% | Mex$2,379.47 | Mex$1,472.19 | n/a | 18 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$1,665.00 | Mex$1,973.77 +18.5% | 14.8% | Mex$2,369.92 | Mex$1,415.13 | n/a | 17 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$1,795.00 | Mex$1,847.30 +2.9% | 17.7% | Mex$2,343.72 | Mex$1,180.29 | n/a | 17 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$1,790.00 | Mex$1,639.19 -8.4% | 13.6% | Mex$2,054.34 | Mex$1,198.37 | n/a | 18 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$1,465.00 | Mex$1,556.02 +6.2% | 15.2% | Mex$1,836.62 | Mex$971.29 | n/a | 18 |
May ’24 | Mex$1,174.00 | Mex$1,429.93 +21.8% | 15.2% | Mex$1,797.99 | Mex$988.89 | Mex$2,407.00 | 17 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$1,180.00 | Mex$1,424.51 +20.7% | 14.7% | Mex$1,809.91 | Mex$995.45 | Mex$2,333.00 | 17 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$1,303.90 | Mex$1,458.91 +11.9% | 15.0% | Mex$1,836.55 | Mex$1,010.10 | Mex$2,125.20 | 16 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$1,245.00 | Mex$1,315.85 +5.7% | 24.0% | Mex$2,203.05 | Mex$753.18 | Mex$2,123.00 | 17 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$966.99 | Mex$1,316.37 +36.1% | 27.1% | Mex$2,271.19 | Mex$776.48 | Mex$2,252.78 | 16 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$1,171.52 | Mex$1,378.02 +17.6% | 28.9% | Mex$2,286.93 | Mex$781.86 | Mex$1,899.99 | 16 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$1,049.72 | Mex$1,336.08 +27.3% | 38.4% | Mex$2,689.43 | Mex$697.26 | Mex$1,525.23 | 15 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$764.33 | Mex$1,361.11 +78.1% | 39.3% | Mex$2,751.33 | Mex$713.31 | Mex$1,612.00 | 14 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$812.00 | Mex$1,311.63 +61.5% | 40.3% | Mex$2,700.41 | Mex$700.11 | Mex$1,665.00 | 14 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$724.28 | Mex$1,409.41 +94.6% | 37.6% | Mex$2,751.85 | Mex$713.44 | Mex$1,795.00 | 14 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$712.37 | Mex$1,582.64 +122.2% | 28.6% | Mex$2,737.54 | Mex$1,006.45 | Mex$1,790.00 | 16 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$1,094.01 | Mex$1,646.65 +50.5% | 25.2% | Mex$2,679.68 | Mex$1,123.10 | Mex$1,465.00 | 14 |
May ’23 | Mex$1,659.99 | Mex$1,804.45 +8.7% | 21.3% | Mex$2,712.81 | Mex$1,216.77 | Mex$1,174.00 | 13 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.