Stride Valuation

Is LRN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LRN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LRN * (MX$1864.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$3721.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LRN * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LRN *?

Key metric: As LRN * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LRN *. This is calculated by dividing LRN *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is LRN *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
EarningsUS$240.19m
Market CapUS$4.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LRN *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LRN * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
ALSEA * Alsea. de
13x23.2%Mex$37.1b
RLH A RLH Properties. de
30.9xn/aMex$18.4b
LOPE Grand Canyon Education
21.3x6.4%US$4.8b
GHC Graham Holdings
18.2xn/aUS$4.1b
LRN * Stride
19.4x14.6%Mex$4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LRN * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LRN *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Services Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies39PE01632486480+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LRN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LRN *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LRN * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LRN *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LRN * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$1,912.23
0%
4.7%Mex$2,008.65Mex$1,767.61n/a5
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$1,912.23
0%
4.7%Mex$2,008.65Mex$1,767.61n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,633.64
0%
8.3%Mex$1,785.61Mex$1,405.69n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,633.64
0%
8.3%Mex$1,785.61Mex$1,405.69n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,448.49
0%
6.9%Mex$1,583.56Mex$1,304.11n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,269.32
0%
3.5%Mex$1,325.25Mex$1,204.78n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,269.32
0%
3.5%Mex$1,325.25Mex$1,204.78n/a4
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,269.32
0%
3.5%Mex$1,325.25Mex$1,204.78n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,230.57
0%
5.7%Mex$1,286.31Mex$1,114.80n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,230.57
0%
5.7%Mex$1,286.31Mex$1,114.80n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,230.57
0%
5.7%Mex$1,286.31Mex$1,114.80n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,183.82
0%
6.6%Mex$1,240.61Mex$1,048.40n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,107.90
0%
6.8%Mex$1,207.05Mex$1,034.62n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,104.50
0%
8.8%Mex$1,267.46Mex$1,032.07n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$930.07
0%
11.5%Mex$1,114.37Mex$857.21n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$930.07
0%
11.5%Mex$1,114.37Mex$857.21n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$970.78
0%
12.4%Mex$1,179.46Mex$889.13n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$970.78
0%
12.4%Mex$1,179.46Mex$889.13n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$970.78
0%
12.4%Mex$1,179.46Mex$889.13n/a4
May ’24n/a
Mex$970.78
0%
12.4%Mex$1,179.46Mex$889.13n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$981.47
0%
14.3%Mex$1,220.97Mex$864.07n/a4
Mar ’24Mex$785.00
Mex$981.47
+25.0%
14.3%Mex$1,220.97Mex$864.07n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$981.47
0%
14.3%Mex$1,220.97Mex$864.07n/a4
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,017.71
0%
16.2%Mex$1,290.76Mex$853.89n/a4
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,037.03
0%
15.4%Mex$1,296.29Mex$857.54n/a4
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$1,037.03
0%
15.4%Mex$1,296.29Mex$857.54n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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