Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation
Is HLT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of HLT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: HLT * (MX$5131.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3792.06)
Significantly Below Fair Value: HLT * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT *?
Key metric: As HLT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
What is HLT *'s PE Ratio? | |
---|---|
PE Ratio | 52.4x |
Earnings | US$1.18b |
Market Cap | US$61.68b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 15.4x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 29.3x |
PEG Ratio | 3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does HLT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 35.7x | ||
RLH A RLH Properties. de | 30.9x | n/a | Mex$18.4b |
HOTEL * Grupo Hotelero Santa Fe. de | 36.5x | 35.6% | Mex$2.9b |
MAR Marriott International | 28.5x | 8.4% | US$79.0b |
ABNB Airbnb | 46.7x | 17.9% | US$85.8b |
HLT * Hilton Worldwide Holdings | 52.4x | 17.6% | Mex$61.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the peer average (35.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does HLT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (17.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is HLT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 52.4x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLT *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$5,131.66 | Mex$4,809.26 -6.3% | 10.1% | Mex$5,586.48 | Mex$3,771.89 | n/a | 26 |
Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$4,698.80 0% | 10.0% | Mex$5,527.27 | Mex$3,731.91 | n/a | 26 |
Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$4,219.10 0% | 9.0% | Mex$4,931.31 | Mex$3,494.63 | n/a | 26 |
Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$4,323.58 0% | 8.3% | Mex$5,037.51 | Mex$3,569.89 | n/a | 25 |
Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,991.27 0% | 8.1% | Mex$4,616.45 | Mex$3,307.85 | n/a | 25 |
Jul ’25 | Mex$3,860.00 | Mex$3,958.44 +2.6% | 8.3% | Mex$4,661.69 | Mex$3,340.26 | n/a | 25 |
Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,573.79 0% | 8.3% | Mex$4,217.11 | Mex$3,021.71 | n/a | 24 |
May ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,674.20 0% | 8.4% | Mex$4,371.62 | Mex$3,132.42 | n/a | 23 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$3,524.30 | Mex$3,489.63 -1.0% | 8.1% | Mex$4,088.27 | Mex$2,936.88 | n/a | 24 |
Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,408.86 0% | 8.6% | Mex$4,040.38 | Mex$2,608.34 | n/a | 23 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$3,304.00 | Mex$3,090.06 -6.5% | 9.7% | Mex$3,689.12 | Mex$2,488.01 | n/a | 23 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,929.16 0% | 7.5% | Mex$3,242.07 | Mex$2,461.26 | n/a | 23 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,896.13 0% | 6.9% | Mex$3,281.97 | Mex$2,491.55 | n/a | 22 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,029.71 0% | 7.0% | Mex$3,448.22 | Mex$2,617.76 | n/a | 22 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,788.66 0% | 5.9% | Mex$3,107.36 | Mex$2,475.64 | n/a | 21 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$2,562.00 | Mex$2,771.37 +8.2% | 6.2% | Mex$3,103.06 | Mex$2,472.22 | n/a | 22 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,733.83 0% | 6.3% | Mex$3,068.76 | Mex$2,444.89 | n/a | 22 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$2,455.00 | Mex$2,651.98 +8.0% | 5.0% | Mex$2,903.01 | Mex$2,424.86 | Mex$3,860.00 | 20 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,751.79 0% | 5.1% | Mex$3,009.36 | Mex$2,513.70 | n/a | 20 |
May ’24 | Mex$2,642.00 | Mex$2,777.05 +5.1% | 5.5% | Mex$3,047.86 | Mex$2,545.86 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,769.98 0% | 5.9% | Mex$3,075.74 | Mex$2,478.69 | Mex$3,524.30 | 20 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,793.70 0% | 6.4% | Mex$3,129.68 | Mex$2,374.88 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$2,597.19 | Mex$2,749.11 +5.8% | 8.3% | Mex$3,219.84 | Mex$2,316.03 | Mex$3,304.00 | 20 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,894.34 0% | 7.2% | Mex$3,378.38 | Mex$2,430.06 | n/a | 20 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$2,800.74 0% | 6.6% | Mex$3,077.50 | Mex$2,365.83 | n/a | 18 |
Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$2,879.69 0% | 6.7% | Mex$3,170.30 | Mex$2,437.17 | n/a | 18 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.