Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

BMV:HLT * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.3t

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLT * (MX$5131.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3792.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLT * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT *?

Key metric: As HLT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLT *. This is calculated by dividing HLT *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLT *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.4x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$61.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.7x
RLH A RLH Properties. de
30.9xn/aMex$18.4b
HOTEL * Grupo Hotelero Santa Fe. de
36.5x35.6%Mex$2.9b
MAR Marriott International
28.5x8.4%US$79.0b
ABNB Airbnb
46.7x17.9%US$85.8b
HLT * Hilton Worldwide Holdings
52.4x17.6%Mex$61.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the peer average (35.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies3PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLT *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$5,131.66
Mex$4,809.26
-6.3%
10.1%Mex$5,586.48Mex$3,771.89n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$4,698.80
0%
10.0%Mex$5,527.27Mex$3,731.91n/a26
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$4,219.10
0%
9.0%Mex$4,931.31Mex$3,494.63n/a26
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$4,323.58
0%
8.3%Mex$5,037.51Mex$3,569.89n/a25
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$3,991.27
0%
8.1%Mex$4,616.45Mex$3,307.85n/a25
Jul ’25Mex$3,860.00
Mex$3,958.44
+2.6%
8.3%Mex$4,661.69Mex$3,340.26n/a25
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$3,573.79
0%
8.3%Mex$4,217.11Mex$3,021.71n/a24
May ’25n/a
Mex$3,674.20
0%
8.4%Mex$4,371.62Mex$3,132.42n/a23
Apr ’25Mex$3,524.30
Mex$3,489.63
-1.0%
8.1%Mex$4,088.27Mex$2,936.88n/a24
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$3,408.86
0%
8.6%Mex$4,040.38Mex$2,608.34n/a23
Feb ’25Mex$3,304.00
Mex$3,090.06
-6.5%
9.7%Mex$3,689.12Mex$2,488.01n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$2,929.16
0%
7.5%Mex$3,242.07Mex$2,461.26n/a23
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$2,896.13
0%
6.9%Mex$3,281.97Mex$2,491.55n/a22
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$3,029.71
0%
7.0%Mex$3,448.22Mex$2,617.76n/a22
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$2,788.66
0%
5.9%Mex$3,107.36Mex$2,475.64n/a21
Sep ’24Mex$2,562.00
Mex$2,771.37
+8.2%
6.2%Mex$3,103.06Mex$2,472.22n/a22
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$2,733.83
0%
6.3%Mex$3,068.76Mex$2,444.89n/a22
Jul ’24Mex$2,455.00
Mex$2,651.98
+8.0%
5.0%Mex$2,903.01Mex$2,424.86Mex$3,860.0020
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$2,751.79
0%
5.1%Mex$3,009.36Mex$2,513.70n/a20
May ’24Mex$2,642.00
Mex$2,777.05
+5.1%
5.5%Mex$3,047.86Mex$2,545.86n/a19
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$2,769.98
0%
5.9%Mex$3,075.74Mex$2,478.69Mex$3,524.3020
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$2,793.70
0%
6.4%Mex$3,129.68Mex$2,374.88n/a20
Feb ’24Mex$2,597.19
Mex$2,749.11
+5.8%
8.3%Mex$3,219.84Mex$2,316.03Mex$3,304.0020
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$2,894.34
0%
7.2%Mex$3,378.38Mex$2,430.06n/a20
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$2,800.74
0%
6.6%Mex$3,077.50Mex$2,365.83n/a18
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$2,879.69
0%
6.7%Mex$3,170.30Mex$2,437.17n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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