- Mexico
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- Hospitality
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- BMV:CIDMEGA *
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Grupe. de's (BMV:CIDMEGA) Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:CIDMEGA) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
See our latest analysis for Grupe. de
An Unusual Tax Situation
Grupe. de reported a tax benefit of Mex$97m, which is well worth noting. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Grupe. de.
Our Take On Grupe. de's Profit Performance
As we have already discussed Grupe. de reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. As a result we don't think its profit result, which includes that tax-boost, is a good guide to its sustainable profit levels. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Grupe. de's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Grupe. de at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Grupe. de, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Grupe. de's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:CIDMEGA *
Proven track record with imperfect balance sheet.