Cheesecake Factory Valuation
Is CAKE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CAKE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CAKE * (MX$727.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$519.14)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CAKE * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAKE *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is CAKE *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$2.03b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 15.3x |
PEG Ratio | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CAKE *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 18.8x | ||
ALSEA * Alsea. de | 21.7x | 22.3% | Mex$50.9b |
CMR B CMR. de | 9.9x | n/a | Mex$709.6m |
POSADAS A Grupo Posadas. de | 17.4x | n/a | Mex$13.9b |
3563 Food & Life Companies | 26.1x | 14.0% | JP¥301.9b |
CAKE * Cheesecake Factory | 19.1x | 19.8% | Mex$2.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAKE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CAKE *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAKE * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (21x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CAKE *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 19.1x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CAKE *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$727.10 | Mex$666.03 -8.4% | 14.4% | Mex$849.81 | Mex$492.89 | n/a | 16 |
Jun ’25 | Mex$601.10 | Mex$666.03 +10.8% | 14.4% | Mex$849.81 | Mex$492.89 | n/a | 16 |
May ’25 | Mex$601.10 | Mex$620.75 +3.3% | 11.3% | Mex$757.29 | Mex$481.91 | n/a | 15 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$625.00 | Mex$600.38 -3.9% | 9.8% | Mex$672.43 | Mex$470.70 | n/a | 14 |
Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$609.43 0% | 10.0% | Mex$683.93 | Mex$478.75 | n/a | 14 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$598.19 0% | 10.2% | Mex$688.90 | Mex$482.23 | n/a | 15 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$573.42 0% | 12.9% | Mex$681.29 | Mex$442.84 | n/a | 15 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$560.70 0% | 10.7% | Mex$687.98 | Mex$447.18 | n/a | 15 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$603.24 0% | 13.3% | Mex$765.93 | Mex$498.74 | n/a | 15 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$631.54 0% | 11.0% | Mex$749.53 | Mex$540.36 | n/a | 13 |
Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$625.90 0% | 10.4% | Mex$732.73 | Mex$528.25 | n/a | 13 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$614.04 0% | 12.8% | Mex$798.25 | Mex$509.52 | n/a | 13 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$618.13 0% | 13.3% | Mex$805.14 | Mex$513.92 | n/a | 12 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$638.31 0% | 13.5% | Mex$825.01 | Mex$526.60 | Mex$601.10 | 11 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$671.66 0% | 14.3% | Mex$826.91 | Mex$539.29 | Mex$601.10 | 11 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$693.86 0% | 12.8% | Mex$829.03 | Mex$540.67 | Mex$625.00 | 10 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$725.00 | Mex$693.30 -4.4% | 13.5% | Mex$844.81 | Mex$550.97 | n/a | 12 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$731.69 | Mex$656.92 -10.2% | 11.0% | Mex$750.77 | Mex$525.54 | n/a | 12 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$677.75 0% | 12.1% | Mex$785.79 | Mex$510.76 | n/a | 14 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$666.90 | Mex$687.57 +3.1% | 11.4% | Mex$787.30 | Mex$511.74 | n/a | 15 |
Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$686.33 0% | 14.6% | Mex$924.93 | Mex$522.79 | n/a | 15 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$603.03 | Mex$682.17 +13.1% | 14.8% | Mex$917.54 | Mex$518.61 | n/a | 15 |
Sep ’23 | n/a | Mex$691.60 0% | 15.2% | Mex$937.67 | Mex$529.99 | n/a | 14 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$691.60 0% | 15.2% | Mex$937.67 | Mex$529.99 | n/a | 14 |
Jul ’23 | n/a | Mex$863.30 0% | 12.3% | Mex$1,020.80 | Mex$653.31 | n/a | 14 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$656.00 | Mex$867.49 +32.2% | 11.1% | Mex$1,028.55 | Mex$712.07 | n/a | 14 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.