Stock Analysis

We Think Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de (BMV:VINTE) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

BMV:VINTE *
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Vinte Viviendas Integrales, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VINTE) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de

What Is Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de had Mex$2.98b of debt at March 2021, down from Mex$3.11b a year prior. On the flip side, it has Mex$972.9m in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$2.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:VINTE * Debt to Equity History May 26th 2021

How Strong Is Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de had liabilities of Mex$1.11b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$3.57b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$972.9m and Mex$334.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$3.36b.

Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de has a market capitalization of Mex$6.17b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 15.8 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's EBIT was down 21% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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