Columbia Sportswear Company

BMV:COLM * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$103.7b

Columbia Sportswear Valuation

Is COLM * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COLM * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COLM * (MX$1695) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2797.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COLM * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COLM *?

Key metric: As COLM * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COLM *. This is calculated by dividing COLM *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is COLM *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.5x
EarningsUS$214.06m
Market CapUS$5.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COLM *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COLM * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38x
KTB Kontoor Brands
20.2x8.5%US$5.2b
6181 Laopu Gold
36.7x34.0%HK$31.9b
PVH PVH
8.1x5.4%US$6.0b
BRBY Burberry Group
87x38.9%UK£3.3b
COLM * Columbia Sportswear
23.5x10.0%Mex$5.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COLM * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COLM *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Luxury Industry?

50 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies107PE01632486480+
50 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COLM * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the Global Luxury industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COLM *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COLM * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COLM *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COLM * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$1,698.68
0%
15.7%Mex$2,038.41Mex$1,235.40n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$1,637.34
0%
16.7%Mex$2,007.38Mex$1,216.60n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,477.44
0%
15.3%Mex$1,770.47Mex$1,106.54n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,477.44
0%
15.3%Mex$1,770.47Mex$1,106.54n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,477.44
0%
15.3%Mex$1,770.47Mex$1,106.54n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,319.17
0%
16.3%Mex$1,631.43Mex$1,019.65n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,319.17
0%
16.3%Mex$1,631.43Mex$1,019.65n/a8
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,339.34
0%
15.4%Mex$1,646.07Mex$1,028.80n/a9
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,246.72
0%
12.4%Mex$1,534.32Mex$1,005.83n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,246.72
0%
12.4%Mex$1,534.32Mex$1,005.83n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,272.24
0%
12.4%Mex$1,548.78Mex$1,032.52n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,393.30
0%
13.3%Mex$1,729.17Mex$1,086.39n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,393.30
0%
13.3%Mex$1,729.17Mex$1,086.39n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,393.30
0%
13.3%Mex$1,729.17Mex$1,086.39n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,459.09
0%
13.0%Mex$1,886.41Mex$1,114.70n/a11
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,476.80
0%
12.9%Mex$1,901.20Mex$1,123.43n/a11
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,586.53
0%
14.8%Mex$2,006.15Mex$1,170.25n/a11
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,636.08
0%
14.2%Mex$2,049.18Mex$1,195.36n/a11
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,740.78
0%
13.6%Mex$2,157.59Mex$1,258.59n/a11
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,740.78
0%
13.6%Mex$2,157.59Mex$1,258.59n/a11
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,797.24
0%
12.8%Mex$2,171.89Mex$1,357.43n/a10
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,891.21
0%
12.5%Mex$2,276.28Mex$1,422.68n/a10
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$1,795.85
0%
17.0%Mex$2,258.93Mex$1,223.59n/a10
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,778.83
0%
19.6%Mex$2,338.51Mex$1,266.69n/a10
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,749.98
0%
18.9%Mex$2,308.13Mex$1,250.24n/a11
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$1,781.32
0%
18.9%Mex$2,375.57Mex$1,286.77n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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