Republic Services, Inc.

BMV:RSGA * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.4t

Republic Services Valuation

Is RSGA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RSGA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RSGA * (MX$4140) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3395.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RSGA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RSGA *?

Key metric: As RSGA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RSGA *. This is calculated by dividing RSGA *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is RSGA *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.5x
EarningsUS$1.97b
Market CapUS$67.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RSGA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RSGA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.3x
PASA B Promotora Ambiental. de
26.6xn/aMex$5.1b
WCN Waste Connections
52.1x14.9%US$49.0b
WM Waste Management
34.1x10.9%US$90.1b
ROL Rollins
52.2x11.6%US$24.5b
RSGA * Republic Services
34.5x6.7%Mex$67.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RSGA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the peer average (41.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RSGA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies81PE01224364860+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RSGA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the Global Commercial Services industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RSGA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RSGA * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RSGA *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RSGA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$4,390.94
0%
7.6%Mex$4,883.90Mex$3,182.54n/a20
Nov ’25Mex$3,978.17
Mex$4,390.94
+10.4%
7.6%Mex$4,883.90Mex$3,182.54n/a20
Oct ’25Mex$3,907.91
Mex$4,004.20
+2.5%
7.4%Mex$4,331.89Mex$2,956.99n/a19
Sep ’25Mex$4,090.76
Mex$4,004.20
-2.1%
7.4%Mex$4,331.89Mex$2,956.99n/a19
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$3,933.53
0%
7.5%Mex$4,283.06Mex$2,923.65n/a19
Jul ’25Mex$3,491.00
Mex$3,711.46
+6.3%
8.1%Mex$4,234.32Mex$2,706.28n/a19
Jun ’25Mex$3,094.14
Mex$3,382.44
+9.3%
8.0%Mex$3,864.00Mex$2,469.60n/a19
May ’25n/a
Mex$3,432.22
0%
8.0%Mex$3,914.09Mex$2,501.62n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$3,303.86
0%
8.0%Mex$3,759.66Mex$2,389.47n/a18
Mar ’25Mex$3,176.83
Mex$3,307.52
+4.1%
9.8%Mex$3,659.00Mex$2,426.85n/a19
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$2,909.10
0%
8.8%Mex$3,248.73Mex$2,274.11n/a19
Jan ’25Mex$2,765.50
Mex$2,889.38
+4.5%
8.3%Mex$3,258.98Mex$2,281.28n/a19
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$2,833.95
0%
7.7%Mex$3,127.32Mex$2,216.62n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$2,991.50
0%
6.9%Mex$3,295.38Mex$2,335.74Mex$3,978.1718
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$2,748.55
0%
7.1%Mex$3,060.69Mex$2,135.76Mex$3,907.9118
Sep ’24Mex$2,459.92
Mex$2,748.55
+11.7%
7.1%Mex$3,060.69Mex$2,135.76Mex$4,090.7618
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$2,742.77
0%
7.5%Mex$3,068.76Mex$2,141.39n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$2,667.14
0%
7.8%Mex$3,071.85Mex$2,106.41Mex$3,491.0018
Jun ’24Mex$2,475.45
Mex$2,667.14
+7.7%
7.8%Mex$3,071.85Mex$2,106.41Mex$3,094.1418
May ’24Mex$2,595.42
Mex$2,720.17
+4.8%
7.8%Mex$3,137.51Mex$2,151.43n/a18
Apr ’24Mex$2,350.20
Mex$2,638.33
+12.3%
8.6%Mex$3,130.02Mex$2,153.02n/a17
Mar ’24Mex$2,332.00
Mex$2,671.93
+14.6%
8.9%Mex$3,175.57Mex$2,184.35Mex$3,176.8316
Feb ’24Mex$2,334.82
Mex$2,736.16
+17.2%
10.1%Mex$3,257.50Mex$2,052.42n/a16
Jan ’24Mex$2,550.35
Mex$2,923.88
+14.6%
9.4%Mex$3,379.24Mex$2,129.12Mex$2,765.5016
Dec ’23Mex$2,577.45
Mex$2,940.06
+14.1%
9.4%Mex$3,405.06Mex$2,145.38n/a16
Nov ’23Mex$2,579.20
Mex$2,956.06
+14.6%
9.8%Mex$3,427.89Mex$2,100.33n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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