The GEO Group, Inc.

BMV:GEO1 * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$86.1b

GEO Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

GEO Group's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -17.9%, while the Commercial Services industry saw earnings growing at 24.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.03% per year. GEO Group's return on equity is 3.2%, and it has net margins of 1.5%.

Key information

-17.9%

Earnings growth rate

-18.6%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services Industry Growth12.2%
Revenue growth rate-0.03%
Return on equity3.2%
Net Margin1.5%
Next Earnings Update27 Feb 2025

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How GEO Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.

Earnings and Revenue History

BMV:GEO1 * Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Sep 242,424362030
30 Jun 242,424302030
31 Mar 242,411891930
31 Dec 232,413891900
30 Sep 232,4261031880
30 Jun 232,4391141910
31 Mar 232,4341341990
31 Dec 222,3771421970
30 Sep 222,314651990
30 Jun 222,254621990
31 Mar 222,231531970
31 Dec 212,257702040
30 Sep 212,2771261940
30 Jun 212,2991361900
31 Mar 212,3211371880
31 Dec 202,3501131930
30 Sep 202,3941391900
30 Jun 202,4461461920
31 Mar 202,4721511930
31 Dec 192,4781671860
30 Sep 192,4561621900
30 Jun 192,4081551890
31 Mar 192,3771511890
31 Dec 182,3311451850
30 Sep 182,3011481820
30 Jun 182,2841471790
31 Mar 182,2781411700
31 Dec 172,2631461900
30 Sep 172,2611591660
30 Jun 172,2491651600
31 Mar 172,2201571570
31 Dec 162,1791491490
30 Sep 162,1131431450
30 Jun 162,0291381410
31 Mar 161,9261431360
31 Dec 151,8431391370
30 Sep 151,7711331280
30 Jun 151,7591341220
31 Mar 151,7261451180
31 Dec 141,6921441150
30 Sep 141,6471331150
30 Jun 141,5691271140
31 Mar 141,5381221140

Quality Earnings: GEO1 * has a large one-off loss of $94.5M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 30th September, 2024.

Growing Profit Margin: GEO1 *'s current net profit margins (1.5%) are lower than last year (4.2%).

Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GEO1 *'s earnings have declined by 17.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: GEO1 *'s has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: GEO1 * had negative earnings growth (-64.8%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Commercial Services industry average (-9.8%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: GEO1 *'s Return on Equity (3.2%) is considered low.

Return on Assets

Return on Capital Employed

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/04 10:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian HoffmanAvondale Partners
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity