M&T Bank Valuation

Is MTB * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTB * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTB * (MX$4526.35) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1975.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTB * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTB *?

Key metric: As MTB * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTB *. This is calculated by dividing MTB *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTB *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
EarningsUS$2.26b
Market CapUS$36.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTB *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTB * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46x
R A Regional. de
5.9x3.5%Mex$37.4b
GFNORTE O Grupo Financiero Banorte. de
7.2x4.1%Mex$402.5b
GFINBUR O Grupo Financiero Inbursa. de
8x3.8%Mex$275.9b
ELEKTRA * Grupo Elektra. de
162.9xn/aMex$209.5b
MTB * M&T Bank
16.2x6.7%Mex$36.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTB * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (45.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTB *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Banks Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies9PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTB * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the South American Banks industry average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTB *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTB * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTB *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTB * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$4,526.35
Mex$4,389.22
-3.0%
9.6%Mex$5,464.87Mex$3,453.64n/a19
Nov ’25Mex$3,923.14
Mex$4,133.51
+5.4%
9.9%Mex$4,803.84Mex$3,166.73n/a20
Oct ’25Mex$3,477.00
Mex$3,649.31
+5.0%
8.9%Mex$4,334.53Mex$3,117.12n/a19
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$3,519.61
0%
8.1%Mex$4,253.06Mex$3,058.53n/a20
Aug ’25Mex$3,229.37
Mex$3,360.13
+4.0%
6.8%Mex$3,875.06Mex$2,947.47n/a20
Jul ’25Mex$2,771.80
Mex$3,055.07
+10.2%
6.0%Mex$3,340.26Mex$2,752.97n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$2,737.77
0%
6.3%Mex$3,002.85Mex$2,502.38n/a20
May ’25n/a
Mex$2,779.23
0%
6.7%Mex$3,086.39Mex$2,393.67n/a21
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$2,654.25
0%
6.8%Mex$2,993.67Mex$2,321.76n/a21
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$2,687.93
0%
6.5%Mex$3,071.99Mex$2,382.50n/a21
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$2,691.55
0%
5.7%Mex$3,096.72Mex$2,401.68n/a21
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$2,556.99
0%
8.5%Mex$3,057.95Mex$2,055.62n/a21
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$2,497.81
0%
8.8%Mex$3,092.96Mex$2,079.16n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$2,625.70
0%
8.6%Mex$3,245.36Mex$2,181.61Mex$3,923.1421
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$2,582.57
0%
7.4%Mex$3,137.58Mex$2,329.65Mex$3,477.0021
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$2,551.18
0%
7.6%Mex$3,015.94Mex$2,278.71n/a21
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$2,534.38
0%
7.5%Mex$3,013.99Mex$2,277.24Mex$3,229.3721
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$2,557.51
0%
10.0%Mex$3,251.28Mex$2,156.11Mex$2,771.8021
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$2,719.82
0%
10.1%Mex$3,400.20Mex$2,254.87n/a21
May ’24n/a
Mex$2,757.77
0%
9.9%Mex$3,447.65Mex$2,286.33n/a21
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$3,064.95
0%
9.2%Mex$3,837.01Mex$2,714.87n/a20
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$3,226.71
0%
7.3%Mex$3,895.31Mex$2,939.86n/a21
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$3,262.98
0%
8.6%Mex$3,947.65Mex$2,979.36n/a21
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$3,746.51
0%
13.3%Mex$5,041.07Mex$3,024.64n/a21
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$3,803.46
0%
11.0%Mex$4,929.74Mex$3,286.49n/a20
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$3,831.28
0%
13.4%Mex$5,028.57Mex$2,518.23n/a20

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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