Li Auto Inc.

BMV:LIA N Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$455.2b

Li Auto Valuation

Is LIA N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LIA N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LIA N (MX$460.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$534.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LIA N is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LIA N?

Key metric: As LIA N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LIA N. This is calculated by dividing LIA N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LIA N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.8x
EarningsCN¥10.17b
Market CapCN¥161.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LIA N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LIA N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
601127 Seres GroupLtd
48.1x31.4%CN¥186.7b
FROTO Ford Otomotiv Sanayi
10.5x40.5%₺351.3b
175 Geely Automobile Holdings
7.8x-5.0%HK$129.3b
7269 Suzuki Motor
8.9x0.7%JP¥3.2t
LIA N Li Auto
15.8x24.7%Mex$22.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LIA N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LIA N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LIA N 15.8xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LIA N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LIA N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LIA N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LIA N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LIA N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$460.50
Mex$620.53
+34.8%
12.9%Mex$800.40Mex$442.92n/a28
Nov ’25Mex$506.50
Mex$613.95
+21.2%
15.1%Mex$806.24Mex$446.15n/a28
Oct ’25Mex$507.00
Mex$562.17
+10.9%
15.7%Mex$704.95Mex$378.36n/a28
Sep ’25Mex$382.50
Mex$554.56
+45.0%
15.9%Mex$697.84Mex$374.55n/a28
Aug ’25Mex$366.00
Mex$611.00
+66.9%
23.2%Mex$989.49Mex$393.47n/a28
Jul ’25Mex$350.10
Mex$604.51
+72.7%
23.4%Mex$965.34Mex$383.61n/a27
Jun ’25Mex$344.00
Mex$589.15
+71.3%
23.6%Mex$913.84Mex$372.34n/a26
May ’25Mex$462.00
Mex$829.10
+79.5%
18.0%Mex$1,103.15Mex$426.26n/a26
Apr ’25Mex$509.00
Mex$886.20
+74.1%
18.4%Mex$1,360.98Mex$644.26n/a25
Mar ’25Mex$744.32
Mex$971.43
+30.5%
15.5%Mex$1,402.49Mex$726.09n/a25
Feb ’25Mex$495.60
Mex$893.52
+80.3%
16.4%Mex$1,277.35Mex$608.81n/a25
Jan ’25Mex$626.50
Mex$938.53
+49.8%
15.5%Mex$1,287.28Mex$613.54n/a24
Dec ’24Mex$642.00
Mex$942.17
+46.8%
15.3%Mex$1,293.22Mex$616.37n/a24
Nov ’24Mex$631.00
Mex$970.92
+53.9%
16.1%Mex$1,282.77Mex$622.96Mex$506.5024
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$956.70
0%
15.4%Mex$1,258.29Mex$611.07Mex$507.0024
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$942.83
0%
15.2%Mex$1,240.89Mex$602.62Mex$382.5025
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$715.30
0%
18.1%Mex$1,024.68Mex$505.99Mex$366.0025
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$664.11
0%
17.9%Mex$1,033.50Mex$509.59Mex$350.1023
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$673.12
0%
17.2%Mex$1,028.52Mex$532.59Mex$344.0022
May ’24n/a
Mex$619.17
0%
21.9%Mex$1,045.64Mex$442.73Mex$462.0023
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$640.84
0%
21.9%Mex$1,082.00Mex$458.13Mex$509.0023
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$630.85
0%
23.3%Mex$1,061.34Mex$409.41Mex$744.3224
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$663.23
0%
23.3%Mex$1,124.84Mex$433.08Mex$495.6025
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$672.11
0%
23.3%Mex$1,129.45Mex$470.04Mex$626.5025
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$705.56
0%
25.5%Mex$1,132.99Mex$404.97Mex$642.0025
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$759.14
0%
22.0%Mex$1,138.50Mex$394.40Mex$631.0023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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