Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka PLC

COSE:DIST.N0000 Stock Report

Market Cap: LK₨145.4b

Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka Valuation

Is DIST.N0000 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DIST.N0000 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DIST.N0000 (LKR31.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (LKR22.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DIST.N0000 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DIST.N0000?

Key metric: As DIST.N0000 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DIST.N0000. This is calculated by dividing DIST.N0000's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DIST.N0000's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.9x
EarningsLK₨14.72b
Market CapLK₨145.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DIST.N0000's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DIST.N0000 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
MELS.N0000 Melstacorp
9.5xn/aLK₨125.9b
CCS.N0000 Ceylon Cold Stores
13xn/aLK₨61.8b
LION.N0000 Lion Brewery (Ceylon)
9.5xn/aLK₨83.5b
CTC.N0000 Ceylon Tobacco
7.7xn/aLK₨233.2b
DIST.N0000 Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka
9.9xn/aLK₨145.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DIST.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DIST.N0000's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Beverage Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DIST.N0000 9.9xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies23PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DIST.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the Asian Beverage industry average (19x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DIST.N0000's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DIST.N0000 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DIST.N0000's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DIST.N0000 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentLK₨31.60
LK₨31.80
+0.6%
6.9%LK₨34.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Nov ’25LK₨32.90
LK₨31.80
-3.3%
6.9%LK₨34.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Oct ’25LK₨27.00
LK₨31.80
+17.8%
6.9%LK₨34.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Sep ’25LK₨25.80
LK₨32.30
+25.2%
8.4%LK₨35.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Aug ’25LK₨25.80
LK₨32.30
+25.2%
8.4%LK₨35.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Jul ’25LK₨26.00
LK₨32.30
+24.2%
8.4%LK₨35.00LK₨29.60n/a2
Jun ’25LK₨27.40
LK₨31.55
+15.1%
6.2%LK₨33.50LK₨29.60n/a2
May ’25LK₨28.70
LK₨32.35
+12.7%
3.6%LK₨33.50LK₨31.20n/a2
Apr ’25LK₨26.80
LK₨32.35
+20.7%
3.6%LK₨33.50LK₨31.20n/a2
Mar ’25LK₨26.50
LK₨32.35
+22.1%
3.6%LK₨33.50LK₨31.20n/a2
Feb ’25LK₨26.80
LK₨31.33
+16.9%
5.5%LK₨33.50LK₨29.30n/a3
Jan ’25LK₨28.00
LK₨31.33
+11.9%
5.5%LK₨33.50LK₨29.30n/a3
Dec ’24LK₨27.00
LK₨33.60
+24.4%
9.2%LK₨36.50LK₨29.30n/a3
Nov ’24LK₨25.90
LK₨32.15
+24.1%
8.9%LK₨35.00LK₨29.30LK₨32.902
Oct ’24LK₨28.00
LK₨32.15
+14.8%
8.9%LK₨35.00LK₨29.30LK₨27.002
Sep ’24LK₨25.90
LK₨31.65
+22.2%
7.4%LK₨34.00LK₨29.30LK₨25.802
Aug ’24LK₨22.90
LK₨30.65
+33.8%
4.4%LK₨32.00LK₨29.30LK₨25.802
Jul ’24LK₨21.40
LK₨28.30
+32.2%
13.1%LK₨32.00LK₨24.60LK₨26.002
Jun ’24LK₨18.50
LK₨28.30
+53.0%
13.1%LK₨32.00LK₨24.60LK₨27.402
Dec ’23LK₨14.00
LK₨19.20
+37.1%
14.6%LK₨22.00LK₨16.40LK₨27.002
Nov ’23LK₨13.90
LK₨19.20
+38.1%
14.6%LK₨22.00LK₨16.40LK₨25.902

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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