Stock Analysis

Is Korean AirlinesLtd (KRX:003490) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Korean Airlines Co.,Ltd. (KRX:003490) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Korean AirlinesLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2025 Korean AirlinesLtd had ₩8.78t of debt, an increase on ₩6.89t, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₩6.69t in cash leading to net debt of about ₩2.09t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A003490 Debt to Equity History July 25th 2025

How Strong Is Korean AirlinesLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Korean AirlinesLtd had liabilities of ₩15t due within a year, and liabilities of ₩21t falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩6.69t in cash and ₩1.66t in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩28t.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩8.97t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Korean AirlinesLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

Check out our latest analysis for Korean AirlinesLtd

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.51 and interest cover of 6.6 times, it seems to us that Korean AirlinesLtd is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Fortunately, Korean AirlinesLtd grew its EBIT by 9.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Korean AirlinesLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Korean AirlinesLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Korean AirlinesLtd's level of total liabilities and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Korean AirlinesLtd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Korean AirlinesLtd that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Korean AirlinesLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.