Stock Analysis

Is Cosnine (KOSDAQ:082660) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

KOSDAQ:A082660
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Cosnine Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:082660) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Cosnine

What Is Cosnine's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Cosnine had ₩10.9b of debt in September 2023, down from ₩20.1b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has ₩24.8b in cash, leading to a ₩13.8b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A082660 Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Cosnine's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cosnine had liabilities of ₩28.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩893.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩24.8b and ₩1.89b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩2.76b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Cosnine shares are worth a total of ₩32.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Cosnine also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Cosnine's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Cosnine reported revenue of ₩9.5b, which is a gain of 2.5%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

So How Risky Is Cosnine?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Cosnine had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of ₩7.3b and booked a ₩9.2b accounting loss. But the saving grace is the ₩13.8b on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Cosnine (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cosnine is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.