David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Itcen Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:124500) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Itcen
How Much Debt Does Itcen Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Itcen had ₩132.5b of debt, an increase on ₩110.3b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩124.8b, its net debt is less, at about ₩7.76b.
How Strong Is Itcen's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Itcen had liabilities of ₩489.2b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩13.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩124.8b and ₩138.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩239.0b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₩230.1b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With net debt sitting at just 0.20 times EBITDA, Itcen is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.1 times, which is more than adequate. But the other side of the story is that Itcen saw its EBIT decline by 5.0% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Itcen will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Itcen recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Itcen's level of total liabilities and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, with ease. We think that Itcen's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Itcen is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A124500
Itcen
Provides consulting, ICT, and outsourcing services and solutions in South Korea.
Excellent balance sheet moderate.