Stock Analysis

Is SK hynix (KRX:000660) A Risky Investment?

KOSE:A000660
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that SK hynix, Inc. (KRX:000660) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SK hynix

What Is SK hynix's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, SK hynix had ₩12t of debt, up from ₩9.70t a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₩4.76t in cash, and so its net debt is ₩6.95t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A000660 Debt to Equity History December 13th 2020

How Strong Is SK hynix's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that SK hynix had liabilities of ₩8.85t due within a year, and liabilities of ₩9.92t falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩4.76t as well as receivables valued at ₩5.51t due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩8.50t.

Given SK hynix has a humongous market capitalization of ₩79t, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

SK hynix's net debt is only 0.51 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that SK hynix's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 38% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SK hynix can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, SK hynix barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

SK hynix's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that SK hynix is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for SK hynix you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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