Stock Analysis

Nepes Ark Corporation (KOSDAQ:330860) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

KOSDAQ:A330860
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Nepes Ark Corporation (KOSDAQ:330860) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Nepes Ark's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in Korea is also close to 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Nepes Ark

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A330860 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024

How Has Nepes Ark Performed Recently?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Nepes Ark's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nepes Ark will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nepes Ark?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nepes Ark would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 63% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 62% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Nepes Ark's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Nepes Ark's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Nepes Ark looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Nepes Ark's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nepes Ark (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nepes Ark might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.