Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Neontech Co.,Ltd. (KOSDAQ:306620) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for NeontechLtd
What Is NeontechLtd's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 NeontechLtd had ₩46.6b of debt, an increase on ₩18.3b, over one year. However, it does have ₩26.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩20.2b.
How Healthy Is NeontechLtd's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NeontechLtd had liabilities of ₩80.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩9.35b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩26.5b as well as receivables valued at ₩19.4b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩43.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because NeontechLtd is worth ₩83.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While NeontechLtd has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.1. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, NeontechLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of ₩6.4b in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is NeontechLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, NeontechLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both NeontechLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that NeontechLtd has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for NeontechLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NeontechLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About KOSDAQ:A306620
NeontechLtd
Manufactures and sells mechanical dicing and system automation equipment in South Korea and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.