Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Zinitix Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:303030) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

KOSDAQ:A303030
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Zinitix Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:303030) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 21% is also fairly reasonable.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zinitix is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.6x, considering almost half the companies in Korea's Semiconductor industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for Zinitix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A303030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 29th 2024

How Has Zinitix Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zinitix over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zinitix, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zinitix would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 66% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zinitix's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Zinitix's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Zinitix revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Zinitix is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zinitix might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.