Stock Analysis

Is KoMiCo (KOSDAQ:183300) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A183300
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that KoMiCo Ltd. (KOSDAQ:183300) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for KoMiCo

What Is KoMiCo's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 KoMiCo had ₩191.1b of debt, an increase on ₩157.7b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩145.6b, its net debt is less, at about ₩45.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A183300 Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2024

How Strong Is KoMiCo's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that KoMiCo had liabilities of ₩165.1b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩150.5b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩145.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩73.6b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩96.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded KoMiCo shares are worth a total of ₩523.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

KoMiCo has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.36. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 22.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, KoMiCo grew its EBIT by 133% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KoMiCo can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, KoMiCo produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, KoMiCo's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think KoMiCo is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with KoMiCo , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.