Stock Analysis

We Think Ram Technology (KOSDAQ:171010) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KOSDAQ:A171010
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Ram Technology Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:171010) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Ram Technology

What Is Ram Technology's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ram Technology had ₩22.2b of debt in December 2020, down from ₩26.7b, one year before. However, it does have ₩10.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩11.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A171010 Debt to Equity History April 8th 2021

How Healthy Is Ram Technology's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ram Technology had liabilities of ₩15.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩10.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩10.9b and ₩2.53b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩12.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Ram Technology has a market capitalization of ₩74.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ram Technology's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.2 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.6 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Shareholders should be aware that Ram Technology's EBIT was down 42% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Ram Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Ram Technology created free cash flow amounting to 15% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Ram Technology's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Ram Technology's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ram Technology (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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