Stock Analysis

Additional Considerations Required While Assessing TOPTEC's (KOSDAQ:108230) Strong Earnings

KOSDAQ:A108230
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Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for TOPTEC Co., Ltd's (KOSDAQ:108230) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for TOPTEC

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KOSDAQ:A108230 Earnings and Revenue History March 27th 2024

Zooming In On TOPTEC's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

TOPTEC has an accrual ratio of 0.39 for the year to December 2023. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₩65b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₩57.3b. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₩65b, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of TOPTEC.

Our Take On TOPTEC's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think TOPTEC's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that TOPTEC's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that TOPTEC is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of TOPTEC's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TOPTEC might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.