TES Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:095610) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 103% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TES' P/S ratio of 1.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in Korea is also close to 1.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for TES
How TES Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for TES as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on TES.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
TES' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 94% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 1.3% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that TES' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On TES' P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now TES' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Given that TES' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for TES (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.