Stock Analysis

What HLB Therapeutics Co.,Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:115450) 36% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

KOSDAQ:A115450
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HLB Therapeutics Co.,Ltd. (KOSDAQ:115450) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 222% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, HLB TherapeuticsLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Biotechs industry in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 8.8x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for HLB TherapeuticsLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A115450 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 18th 2024

What Does HLB TherapeuticsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

HLB TherapeuticsLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HLB TherapeuticsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For HLB TherapeuticsLtd?

HLB TherapeuticsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that HLB TherapeuticsLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From HLB TherapeuticsLtd's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to HLB TherapeuticsLtd's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that HLB TherapeuticsLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for HLB TherapeuticsLtd that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HLB TherapeuticsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.