There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Kolon Plastics (KRX:138490) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Kolon Plastics is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.00098 = ₩228m ÷ (₩331b - ₩100b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Therefore, Kolon Plastics has an ROCE of 0.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 8.2%.
View our latest analysis for Kolon Plastics
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Kolon Plastics' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Kolon Plastics' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Kolon Plastics, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 13% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, Kolon Plastics has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 30% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.The Bottom Line
We're a bit apprehensive about Kolon Plastics because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 35% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Kolon Plastics (including 2 which is shouldn't be ignored) .
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About KOSE:A138490
Kolon ENP
Produces and sells engineering plastic products in South Korea and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.