Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd (KRX:010640) Is Using Debt Extensively

KOSE:A010640
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Chinyang Poly Urethane Co.,Ltd (KRX:010640) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd

What Is Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd had ₩8.05b of debt, an increase on ₩1.70b, over one year. However, it also had ₩370.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₩7.68b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A010640 Debt to Equity History December 28th 2020

How Strong Is Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd had liabilities of ₩7.62b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩9.81b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩370.6m and ₩6.65b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩10.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd has a market capitalization of ₩36.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

We'd say that Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.8), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 15.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 25% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last two years, Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Chinyang Poly UrethaneLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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