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Here's Why Kukdo Chemical (KRX:007690) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kukdo Chemical Co., Ltd. (KRX:007690) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Kukdo Chemical
What Is Kukdo Chemical's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Kukdo Chemical had debt of ₩273.8b, up from ₩255.4b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩159.6b, its net debt is less, at about ₩114.3b.
How Healthy Is Kukdo Chemical's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kukdo Chemical had liabilities of ₩297.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩165.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩159.6b in cash and ₩226.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩76.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Kukdo Chemical has a market capitalization of ₩296.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Kukdo Chemical's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 16.6 times, makes us even more comfortable. Also good is that Kukdo Chemical grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kukdo Chemical's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Kukdo Chemical actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
On our analysis Kukdo Chemical's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Kukdo Chemical's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kukdo Chemical (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About KOSE:A007690
Low and slightly overvalued.
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