Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hanil Holdings Co., Ltd. (KRX:003300) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hanil Holdings
How Much Debt Does Hanil Holdings Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hanil Holdings had ₩949.5b in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩579.3b, its net debt is less, at about ₩370.1b.
How Strong Is Hanil Holdings's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hanil Holdings had liabilities of ₩611.6b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩902.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩579.3b in cash and ₩348.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩586.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩314.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Hanil Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.8, Hanil Holdings uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.4 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Also relevant is that Hanil Holdings has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 20% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Hanil Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hanil Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Hanil Holdings's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Hanil Holdings's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hanil Holdings (including 1 which is is concerning) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About KOSE:A003300
Hanil Holdings
Manufactures and sells construction materials in South Korea.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.