Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Kumyang Co., Ltd. (KRX:001570) After Shares Rise 28%

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KOSE:A001570

Kumyang Co., Ltd. (KRX:001570) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Kumyang is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 20.3x, considering almost half the companies in Korea's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Kumyang

KOSE:A001570 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

What Does Kumyang's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Kumyang's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kumyang's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Kumyang's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Kumyang's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kumyang's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Kumyang's P/S

Shares in Kumyang have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Kumyang revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kumyang (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kumyang, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kumyang might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.