Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, NOROO Holdings Co., Ltd. (KRX:000320) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is NOROO Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 NOROO Holdings had debt of ₩227.8b, up from ₩206.6b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩192.8b, its net debt is less, at about ₩35.0b.
A Look At NOROO Holdings' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NOROO Holdings had liabilities of ₩326.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩155.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩192.8b and ₩194.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩94.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩118.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While NOROO Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.69 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.5 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly NOROO Holdings's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NOROO Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, NOROO Holdings recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
NOROO Holdings's level of total liabilities and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its net debt to EBITDA tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think NOROO Holdings's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with NOROO Holdings (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A000320
NOROO Holdings
Operates as a general fine chemical company in South Korea.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.