Stock Analysis

Does Next Bt (KOSDAQ:065170) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

KOSDAQ:A065170
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Next Bt Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:065170) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Next Bt

What Is Next Bt's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Next Bt had ₩42.0b of debt, up from ₩13.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₩10.9b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩31.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A065170 Debt to Equity History January 20th 2021

A Look At Next Bt's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Next Bt had liabilities of ₩31.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩29.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩10.9b in cash and ₩8.21b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩41.5b.

Next Bt has a market capitalization of ₩130.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Next Bt will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Next Bt had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to ₩56b. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Next Bt's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩9.8b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩27b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Next Bt (including 2 which can't be ignored) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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