Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Medience Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:014100) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Medience
How Much Debt Does Medience Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Medience had ₩18.8b of debt, an increase on ₩13.9b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩2.52b, its net debt is less, at about ₩16.3b.
How Healthy Is Medience's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Medience had liabilities of ₩26.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩10.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩2.52b in cash and ₩9.99b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩23.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩22.0b, we think shareholders really should watch Medience's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Medience will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Medience made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩60b, which is a fall of 15%. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While Medience's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₩5.8b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through ₩8.6b in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Medience you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A014100
Medience
Engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail of cosmetics, quasi-medicine, and children’s clothing products in South Korea, Asia, and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet low.