Stock Analysis

Is Samyang (KRX:145990) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A145990
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Samyang Corporation (KRX:145990) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Samyang

What Is Samyang's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Samyang had ₩822.5b of debt, up from ₩738.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₩385.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩436.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A145990 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2021

How Healthy Is Samyang's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Samyang had liabilities of ₩465.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩757.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩385.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩230.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩607.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩587.8b, we think shareholders really should watch Samyang's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

We'd say that Samyang's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.3), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 13.8 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Samyang grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Samyang will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Samyang basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Samyang's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that Samyang's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Samyang (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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