David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CJ Cheiljedang Corporation (KRX:097950) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for CJ Cheiljedang
What Is CJ Cheiljedang's Net Debt?
As you can see below, CJ Cheiljedang had ₩8.48t of debt at September 2020, down from ₩10t a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩2.37t, its net debt is less, at about ₩6.11t.
A Look At CJ Cheiljedang's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, CJ Cheiljedang had liabilities of ₩7.82t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩8.56t due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩2.37t as well as receivables valued at ₩2.75t due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩11t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩6.67t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, CJ Cheiljedang would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
CJ Cheiljedang's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.4 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.7 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. It is well worth noting that CJ Cheiljedang's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 66% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CJ Cheiljedang can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, CJ Cheiljedang recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
To be frank both CJ Cheiljedang's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that CJ Cheiljedang has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with CJ Cheiljedang (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A097950
CJ Cheiljedang
Engages food and bio businesses in South Korea and internationally.
Undervalued with solid track record.