The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Harim Holdings Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:003380) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Harim Holdings
What Is Harim Holdings's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Harim Holdings had ₩3.45t of debt, an increase on ₩3.15t, over one year. However, it does have ₩835.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩2.61t.
How Healthy Is Harim Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Harim Holdings had liabilities of ₩3.76t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩2.14t due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩835.8b as well as receivables valued at ₩750.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩4.32t.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩725.6b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Harim Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Harim Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.4 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that Harim Holdings grew its EBIT at 14% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Harim Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Harim Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Harim Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Harim Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Harim Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KOSDAQ:A003380
Harim Holdings
Engages in the food and daily services management business.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.