Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For FnGuide Inc.'s (KOSDAQ:064850) Shares After Tumbling 25%

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KOSDAQ:A064850

FnGuide Inc. (KOSDAQ:064850) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 22%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, FnGuide may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.6x, since almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

For example, consider that FnGuide's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for FnGuide

KOSDAQ:A064850 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 27th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on FnGuide will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is FnGuide's Growth Trending?

FnGuide's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 22%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 18% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that FnGuide is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

FnGuide's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that FnGuide currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with FnGuide (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.