Stock Analysis

We Think Kukdong (KRX:005320) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

KOSE:A005320
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kukdong Corporation (KRX:005320) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kukdong

What Is Kukdong's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Kukdong had ₩24.9b of debt, up from ₩21.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩13.3b, its net debt is less, at about ₩11.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A005320 Debt to Equity History August 7th 2024

A Look At Kukdong's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kukdong had liabilities of ₩47.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩10.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩13.3b as well as receivables valued at ₩31.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩12.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Kukdong has a market capitalization of ₩29.1b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kukdong will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Kukdong made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩216b, which is a fall of 33%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Kukdong's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩9.9b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩14b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kukdong (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.