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- KOSE:A049800
Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Woojin Plaimm (KRX:049800)
Investors were disappointed with Woojin Plaimm Co., Ltd.'s (KRX:049800) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.
View our latest analysis for Woojin Plaimm
Examining Cashflow Against Woojin Plaimm's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to December 2020, Woojin Plaimm had an accrual ratio of -0.11. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ₩28b, well over the ₩7.77b it reported in profit. Woojin Plaimm's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Woojin Plaimm.
An Unusual Tax Situation
Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Woojin Plaimm profited from a tax benefit which contributed ₩1.7b to profit. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal.
Our Take On Woojin Plaimm's Profit Performance
While Woojin Plaimm's accrual ratio stands testament to its strong cashflow, and indicates good quality earnings, the fact that it received a tax benefit suggests that this year's profit may not be a great guide to its sustainable profit run-rate. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Woojin Plaimm's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Woojin Plaimm has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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About KOSE:A049800
Woojin Plaimm
Manufactures and sells plastic injection molding machines in South Korea and internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.