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We Think Kyeryong Construction Industrial (KRX:013580) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Kyeryong Construction Industrial Co., Ltd. (KRX:013580) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Kyeryong Construction Industrial
How Much Debt Does Kyeryong Construction Industrial Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kyeryong Construction Industrial had debt of ₩677.8b at the end of December 2020, a reduction from ₩755.3b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩434.6b, its net debt is less, at about ₩243.2b.
A Look At Kyeryong Construction Industrial's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Kyeryong Construction Industrial had liabilities of ₩1.03t due within a year, and liabilities of ₩438.2b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩434.6b in cash and ₩385.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩643.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩274.1b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Kyeryong Construction Industrial would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt sitting at just 1.3 times EBITDA, Kyeryong Construction Industrial is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 9.4 times, which is more than adequate. Also positive, Kyeryong Construction Industrial grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kyeryong Construction Industrial will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Kyeryong Construction Industrial produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 58% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Kyeryong Construction Industrial's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. In particular, its EBIT growth rate was re-invigorating. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Kyeryong Construction Industrial is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kyeryong Construction Industrial .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A013580
Kyeryong Construction Industrial
Kyeryong Construction Industrial Co., Ltd.
Adequate balance sheet slight.