Stock Analysis

Is Aprogen Medicines (KRX:007460) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A007460
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Aprogen Medicines Inc. (KRX:007460) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Aprogen Medicines

How Much Debt Does Aprogen Medicines Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Aprogen Medicines had debt of ₩126.5b, up from ₩92.0b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₩32.9b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩93.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A007460 Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Aprogen Medicines' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aprogen Medicines had liabilities of ₩130.7b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩52.4b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩32.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩35.6b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩114.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Aprogen Medicines is worth ₩466.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aprogen Medicines will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Aprogen Medicines reported revenue of ₩153b, which is a gain of 42%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Aprogen Medicines's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩96b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₩95b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Aprogen Medicines (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.