Stock Analysis

Does Daedong Industrial (KRX:000490) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

KOSE:A000490
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Daedong Industrial Co., Ltd. (KRX:000490) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Daedong Industrial

How Much Debt Does Daedong Industrial Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Daedong Industrial had debt of ₩334.7b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩422.8b over a year. However, it does have ₩31.4b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩303.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A000490 Debt to Equity History February 19th 2021

How Strong Is Daedong Industrial's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Daedong Industrial had liabilities of ₩482.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩118.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩31.4b as well as receivables valued at ₩194.6b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩374.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩176.8b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Daedong Industrial would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2, it's fair to say Daedong Industrial does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. More concerning, Daedong Industrial saw its EBIT drop by 4.7% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Daedong Industrial will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Daedong Industrial generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

To be frank both Daedong Industrial's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Daedong Industrial has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Daedong Industrial .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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