Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Doosan Corporation (KRX:000150) With Shares Advancing 28%

KOSE:A000150
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Those holding Doosan Corporation (KRX:000150) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last month tops off a massive increase of 111% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Doosan's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Industrials industry in Korea, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Doosan

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSE:A000150 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2024

How Has Doosan Performed Recently?

Recent times have been pleasing for Doosan as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. Perhaps the market is expecting its current strong performance to taper off in accordance to the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S contained. Those who are bullish on Doosan will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Doosan.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Doosan would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 75% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.2% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 521%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Doosan's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Doosan's P/S Mean For Investors?

Doosan's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

When you consider that Doosan's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Doosan that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.