Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Neo Technical System Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:085910) For Its Next Dividend

KOSDAQ:A085910
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Neo Technical System Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:085910) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. You will need to purchase shares before the 29th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of April.

Neo Technical System's next dividend payment will be ₩250 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed ₩250 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Neo Technical System has a trailing yield of 6.2% on the current stock price of ₩4005. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Neo Technical System's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Neo Technical System can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for Neo Technical System

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. An unusually high payout ratio of 236% of its profit suggests something is happening other than the usual distribution of profits to shareholders. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. The company paid out 100% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Neo Technical System's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Neo Technical System paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
KOSDAQ:A085910 Historic Dividend December 25th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Neo Technical System's earnings per share have dropped 19% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Neo Technical System has lifted its dividend by approximately 7.6% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Neo Technical System is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

Final Takeaway

Is Neo Technical System an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? It's looking like an unattractive opportunity, with its earnings per share declining, while, paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its profits (236%) and cash flow as dividends. This is a clearly suboptimal combination that usually suggests the dividend is at risk of being cut. If not now, then perhaps in the future. Bottom line: Neo Technical System has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

Although, if you're still interested in Neo Technical System and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Our analysis shows 5 warning signs for Neo Technical System that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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