David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Nara Mold & Die Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:051490) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Nara Mold & Die Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nara Mold & Die had ₩66.0b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₩21.6b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩44.4b.
How Strong Is Nara Mold & Die's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nara Mold & Die had liabilities of ₩136.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩4.74b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩21.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩63.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩55.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩69.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Nara Mold & Die's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.2, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Nara Mold & Die's EBIT was down 48% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Nara Mold & Die's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Nara Mold & Die's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
To be frank both Nara Mold & Die's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Nara Mold & Die to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Nara Mold & Die (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KOSDAQ:A051490
Nara Mold & Die
Engages in the manufacture and sale of press dies, plastic molds, stamped parts, and assembly parts in South Korea.
Excellent balance sheet moderate.