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Earnings Not Telling The Story For PlumbFast Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:035200) After Shares Rise 34%
PlumbFast Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:035200) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 96%.
Since its price has surged higher, PlumbFast may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.6x, since almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about PlumbFast. View them for free.PlumbFast certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for PlumbFast
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like PlumbFast's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 7.7% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that PlumbFast is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From PlumbFast's P/E?
PlumbFast's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that PlumbFast currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for PlumbFast (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than PlumbFast. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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