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Here's Why Daedong Gear (KOSDAQ:008830) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Daedong Gear Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:008830) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Daedong Gear's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Daedong Gear had ₩89.7b of debt, an increase on ₩79.7b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩2.16b, its net debt is less, at about ₩87.5b.
How Healthy Is Daedong Gear's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Daedong Gear had liabilities of ₩129.0b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩34.9b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩2.16b and ₩40.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩121.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩182.0b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
Check out our latest analysis for Daedong Gear
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.4 hit our confidence in Daedong Gear like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Daedong Gear saw its EBIT tank 45% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Daedong Gear will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Daedong Gear recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
On the face of it, Daedong Gear's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Daedong Gear has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Daedong Gear (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A008830
Daedong Gear
Manufactures and sells power transmission parts in South Korea and internationally.
Low with questionable track record.
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