Stock Analysis

Here's Why Kyushu Electric Power Company (TSE:9508) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TSE:9508
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated (TSE:9508) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kyushu Electric Power Company

What Is Kyushu Electric Power Company's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Kyushu Electric Power Company had JP¥3.44t of debt at June 2024, down from JP¥3.99t a year prior. On the flip side, it has JP¥228.9b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥3.22t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9508 Debt to Equity History October 14th 2024

A Look At Kyushu Electric Power Company's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kyushu Electric Power Company had liabilities of JP¥987.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥3.72t due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥228.9b and JP¥204.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥4.28t.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥766.1b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Kyushu Electric Power Company would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Kyushu Electric Power Company's debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.0 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 8.5 implies it services that debt with ease. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Pleasingly, Kyushu Electric Power Company is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 177% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kyushu Electric Power Company's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Kyushu Electric Power Company recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Kyushu Electric Power Company's level of total liabilities and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that Kyushu Electric Power Company is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Kyushu Electric Power Company is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Kyushu Electric Power Company (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.