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GreenEnergy & Company Inc.'s (TSE:1436) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 30% Share Price Bounce
Despite an already strong run, GreenEnergy & Company Inc. (TSE:1436) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 179% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider GreenEnergy as a stock to avoid entirely with its 31x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
It looks like earnings growth has deserted GreenEnergy recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring earnings performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for GreenEnergy
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GreenEnergy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like GreenEnergy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 114% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that GreenEnergy's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
What We Can Learn From GreenEnergy's P/E?
GreenEnergy's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that GreenEnergy maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for GreenEnergy (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:1436
GreenEnergy
GreenEnergy & Company engages in the energy businesses primarily.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.